House Called for GOP
November 19, 2024
The Associated Press officially called the House of Representatives for the Republican party on Thursday, Nov.14. This victory supplements the GOP’s control of the Presidency and the Senate.
By the numbers: Control of the House this election cycle came down to just over two dozen toss-up seats across the country. As of Monday, here is where the numbers stand:
- Democratic Pickups (7): AL-02, CA-27, LA-06, NY-04, NY-19, NY-22, OR-05
- GOP Pickups (4): CO-08, MI-07, PA-07, PA-08
- Democratic Holds (31): CA-09, CA-47, CA-49, CT-05, FL-09, IN-01, IL-17, KS-03, ME-02, MD-06, MI-03, MI-08, MN-02, NC-01, NH-01, NH-02, NY-03, NY-18, NV-01, NV-03, NV-04, OH-01, OH-13, OR-04, OR-06, PA-17, TX-28, TX-34, VA-07, WA-03, WA-08
- GOP Holds (23): AZ-01, AZ-02, AZ-06, CA-03, CA-22, CA-40, CA-41, CO-03, FL-13, FL-27, IA-03, MI-10, MT-01, NE-02, NY-01, NY-17, NJ-07, PA-01, PA-10, TX-15, VA-02, WI-01, WI-03
- Too Close to Call (5): AK-AL, CA-13, CA-45, IA-01, OH-09
- The parties have thus far split these toss-ups, landing themselves in nearly the same spot they found themselves before the election. Click here for the list of the toss-up seats from Cook Political Report.
In our House bellwethers, Democrat Eugene Vindman won his race with 51.2% of the vote in VA-2 to keep the district in Democratic hands.
- Just a couple miles south, in VA-7, Republican Jen Kiggans won her race by 50.8%, a nearly identical margin from her 2022 victory.
- Both were narrowly favored.
With the decisive victory for President Trump on the national level, conventional political wisdom says that Republicans should have a commanding majority in the House of Representatives and won more competitive seats.
Control, but for how long?
Every seat will count in order for Republicans to pass their agenda come January. Notably, President-elect Trump has picked three House members to be a part of his new administration.
- Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL-1), Attorney General nominee. Gaetz resigned from the House on Nov. 13 as soon as he was publicly nominated to the position.
- Rep. Mike Waltz (R-FL-6), National Security Advisor nominee
- Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY-21), Ambassador to the U.N. nominee
Click here to see the full list of his cabinet picks.
Why it matters: While all of the members listed above are from “safe” Republican seats, their vacancies may cause hurdles for House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) as he looks to pass legislation in the first 100 days.
Please contact James Montfort (Jmontfort@crefc.org) with any questions.